ASML ASML
Depreciation Integrity 20
Capex-vs-Demand Gap 68
Insider-Selling Intensity 27
Financing Opacity / Circular Leverage 17
Energy & Diminishing Returns 45
Organic End-User Demand 53
Watch
— CONVERGENCE FLAG: INACTIVE. Only one indicator clearly elevated (Indicator 2). Indicators 5–6 are honest amber, not independent reds. ASML's fragility is concentrated and geopolitical (China export normalization, not balance-sheet or insider panic). Record 2025 backlog/EUV orders and net-cash balance sheet argue against a multi-indicator red stack.
Last updated:
Deep Dossier in Progress

The scored backbone above is sourced from primary filings. The full investigative dossier — claim-by-claim audit, inversion analysis, primary paper trail — is being authored. This page updates as evidence lands. No claims are fabricated or inferred here; only data the engine already holds is shown.

Key Metrics (engine data)

ASML forward P/E ~41x(GuruFocus, 2026-03-11: 41.2Verified sheet
Trailing P/Eelevated post-2025 run (YahoVerified sheet
Price/sales ~13–19×(Yahoo, 2026 — med conf). PrVerified sheet
15-yr historical ASML median P/E = NOT SOURC— do not invent a long-run aVerified sheet